Leading bookmakers have released their early odds for the 2026 Ballon d’Or. The biggest reason behind the changes is the FIFA World Cup, which finished in July in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Performances at the tournament have had a much bigger impact than club success, with players who impressed on the international stage now leading the race for football’s biggest individual award.
Main Favorites After the World Cup
The top of the market is filled with players who stood out the most during the tournament.
- Harry Kane: 2.50 – 3.75. The Bayern Munich striker and England captain is one of the leading favorites after another outstanding season, combining goals with strong leadership for his national team.
- Lamine Yamal: 2.50 – 3.75. The 19-year-old Spanish winger played a huge role in Spain’s World Cup victory, putting him level with Kane at the top of many bookmaker rankings.
- Rodri: 4.50 – 5.50. The Spain midfielder remains one of the highest-rated players thanks to his consistent influence for both club and country.
- Lionel Messi: 5.00 – 15.00. A brilliant World Cup campaign in North America has pushed the eight-time Ballon d’Or winner back into the conversation. What could be his final World Cup has also kept him in the spotlight.
According to Betting18.com experts, the World Cup has reshaped the Ballon d’Or race, but consistent performances throughout the upcoming club season will ultimately determine who lifts the trophy.
Other Players in the Race
Several other stars are still seen as realistic contenders, although their odds are longer.
- Kylian Mbappé: 6.00 – 7.50. France’s captain remains among the favorites thanks to another high-scoring season. However, France’s World Cup semifinal exit has slightly reduced his chances.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 14.00 – 26.00. The French forward strengthened his case with a solid World Cup, a UEFA Champions League title, and another strong season at club level.
- Pau Cubarsí: 18.00 – 27.00. The 19-year-old center-back has quickly become one of the world’s best young defenders. Spain’s outstanding defensive record at the World Cup was built in large part on his performances.
- Vitinha: 28.00 – 31.00. The Portuguese midfielder is still highly rated, although Portugal’s disappointing World Cup campaign has seen his odds drift.
- Erling Haaland: 33.00 – 36.00. The Norwegian striker continues to score heavily for his club and enjoyed an impressive individual World Cup. However, Norway’s failure to reach the tournament’s final four has hurt his Ballon d’Or chances in the eyes of bookmakers.
Fans following the Ballon d’Or race can also find outright betting markets at casino 18+, where odds are regularly updated as the competition evolves throughout the season.
