ELXN 2022 – Four Ridings to Watch Tonight!


THUNDER BAY – ELXN 2022 – It is decision day in Ontario.

While the polls are showing a Progressive Conservative win, it will be only in the counting of the actual votes that decide the winners.

Here are some ridings to watch tonight once the polls close:

Thunder Bay–Atikokan

The results in Thunder Bay-Atikokan were one of the closest of the 2018 election. This keeps to a history of close races in this riding.

Former Liberal cabinet minister Bill Mauro went down to defeat with New Democrat Judith Monteith-Farrel beating him by 81 votes.

Judith Monteith-Farrel is running this time for re-election.

She is facing a strong challenge from Progressive Conservative Kevin Holland and Liberal Rob Barrett.

Count on Thunder Bay Atikokan as a likely nail-biter.

Thunder Bay-Superior North

Incumbent Michael Gravelle has held TBSN since 1995. The Riding changed names from Port Arthur to Thunder Bay-Superior North in 1999.

Gravelle was nominated to run, but in April 2022, he announced that due to health concerns he would be withdrawing from the election.

The Liberals have nominated Shelby Ch’ng, the sitting city councillor from Northwood ward.

The New Democrat candidate Lise Vaugeois is running for a second time in TBSN, she finished 810 votes behind Gravelle in the last election.

The Progressive Conservative candidate is Peng You, a Councillor at Large in the City of Thunder Bay. Peng You has put together a strong campaign, and could surprise many people.

The Liberals are very confident in holding this seat. It might be an interesting night.


Ontario Liberal leader Steven Del Duca is trying to win back this riding losing it to Michael Tibollo, the Progressive Conservative candidate in 2018.

Del Duca is facing a very solid challenge from Premier Ford’s Association Minister of Mental Health and Addictions. Del Duca is the only major party leader who has not had a seat in the legislature this past term.

338Canada and a Toronto Star poll are suggesting this seat will be held by Michael Tibollo.

This seat could be a marker on the Liberal campaign.

Parry-Sound Muskoka

This riding in the heart of Southern Ontario’s cottage country, encompasses much of Parry Sound and Muskoka, including Huntsville, Bracebridge and Gravenhurst.

Parry-Sound Muskoka is a riding that the Ontario Greens are hopeful of winning a second seat. The former MPP was Norm Miller, a Progressive Conservative who is not running this time. The Ontario Liberals dropped their candidate, which opens up the opportunity for the Greens.

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