Toronto Victoria Day Long Weekend Weather Outlook: Stormy Start, Sunny Finish

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Leafs Nation

From Thunder and Showers to Patio-Perfect Monday: Toronto’s Long Weekend Weather Serves Up Variety

TORONTO – WEATHER REPORT – Toronto is stepping into the Victoria Day long weekend with a noisy and steamy start. Thunderstorms and showers are dominating the early forecast, but don’t let that dampen your spirits—clearer skies and more comfortable spring temperatures are on the horizon as we head toward Sunday and Monday.

Before we continue with the weather, lets take a moment to talk Leafs! After Game Five, where the team struggled, seems some so-called fans decided it was time to pile on.

🚨 LEAFS NATION: THIS IS OUR MOMENT. 🚨

Backs against the wall.
Game 6.
Hostile territory in Florida.

The Leafs are down but NOT out. This is where heart, grit, and pride come into play. Forget Game 5. Forget the noise. Forget the doubters.

🏒 The boys need you now more than ever.
🏒 This is playoff hockey—roller coaster, heartbreak, glory.
🏒 It’s not over ‘til it’s over.

Let’s show the world what real Leafs fans are made of. Rally behind the team. Believe in the jersey.
🔥 All in. All heart. Leafs Forever. 🔥

Thanks, now back to the weather!

At 5:00 AM EDT, Toronto Pearson International Airport is reporting thunderstorms mixed with light rain showers. The current temperature is 15.6°C, with a sticky dew point of 14.6°C and humidity at a tropical 94%. Winds are light from the north-northwest at 8 km/h, and visibility is at 11 km. Pressure is holding at 100.5 kPa but continues its downward trend, hinting at more unsettled conditions.

Long Weekend Forecast: Wet and Wild to Sun and Smiles

Today, expect the showers and the risk of an early morning thunderstorm to taper off, giving way to clearing skies. It will be warm and humid, with a high of 27°C, feeling more like 29°C with the humidex. The UV index will be cranking up to very high at 8—so keep that sunscreen close even after the rain moves out.

Tonight, the weather will briefly cooperate with clear skies before cloudiness increases after midnight. Showers and another risk of thunderstorms are expected overnight, with a local rainfall amount of 15 mm possible. The overnight low will be 13°C.

Saturday will bring showers once again, and another round of thunderstorms is possible in the morning. Winds will be a key player—south at 20 km/h gusting to 50 in the morning, shifting to a blustery west 30 km/h gusting to 50 in the afternoon. Temperatures will reach a cooler 20°C under grey skies. The UV index will be moderate at 3.

Saturday night will see some breaks in the clouds with a 30 percent chance of lingering showers and a low of 11°C.

Sunday will finally bring a taste of Victoria Day sunshine, with a mix of sun and cloud and a high of 17°C—ideal for garden work, waterfront walks, or patio hopping. The night will be clear and crisp with a low of 7°C.

Victoria Day Monday will bring the best weather of the weekend: sunny skies and a comfortable high of 16°C—perfect for celebrating the unofficial start of summer in true Toronto style. The night will remain clear with a low of 5°C.

Pack the Umbrella and Sunglasses—You’ll Need Both!

If you’re staying in the city for the long weekend, be prepared for a dynamic weather rollercoaster. The first half will be steamy, stormy, and at times windy, while Sunday and Monday will bring the kind of cool, crisp sunshine that makes the May long weekend feel like a proper seasonal switch.

Toronto Weather Trivia

Did you know? Toronto averages a thunderstorm on Victoria Day weekend every three years. This year, Mother Nature seems to be holding onto that tradition—while still making sure we end the holiday with some blue skies and sunshine.

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