OTTAWA – POLITICS – The political scene in Ottawa is volatile. The federal Conservatives are pushing forward to expand the military operations in the Middle East and to pass Bill C-51.
Many experts across Canada are coming out in opposition to the new anti-terrorism legislation.
What impact is that political activity having on the polls?
Nik Nanos reports, “Although the index score advantage is not as strong as in the past, the Liberals continue to score higher than the Conservatives on the weekly Nanos Party Power Index. The latest tracking has the Liberals with 57 out of a possible 100 points followed by the Conservatives at 54 points, the NDP at 49 points, the Greens at 31 points and the BQ at 25 points (QC only)”.
The Nanos Party Power Index methodology is comprised of a basket of political goods that includes ballot preferences, accessible voters, preferred PM views and evaluations of the leaders. It is modeled similar to a standard confidence index. It is a random telephone survey conducted with live agents, reaching out to Canadians through a land- and cell-line dual frame sample.
Even though the Liberals score higher than the Conservatives on the overall index, more Canadians prefer Harper as Prime Minister compared to Trudeau. Thirty four per cent of Canadians said they preferred Harper as PM, followed by 31 per cent who preferred Trudeau, 16 per cent who preferred Mulcair, four per cent May and 14 per cent of Canadians were unsure.
Asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would consider or not consider voting for each of the federal parties, 52 per cent of Canadians would consider voting Liberal while 45 per cent would consider voting Conservative, 42 per cent would consider voting NDP and 24 per cent would consider voting for the Greens.