Summer-like warmth and thunderstorm chances give way to windy conditions and a sharp cool-down by Monday
Dryden and Vermilion Bay are waking up under cloudy skies and mild early October temperatures, with light northeast winds and near-saturated air creating a damp, early-autumn feel. However, the region is about to swing into a much warmer, more unsettled weather pattern, with humidex values reaching into the low 30s Saturday before a windy frontal system sweeps in Sunday night, bringing showers and a temperature drop of more than 10 degrees into Monday.
Current Conditions (as of 5:00 AM CDT – Dryden Airport)
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Temperature: 11.9°C
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Dew Point: 11.3°C
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Humidity: 96%
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Wind: NE at 9 km/h
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Visibility: 16 km
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Pressure: 101.9 kPa
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Condition: Cloudy
Friday, October 3
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Mainly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers, especially this afternoon.
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Winds becoming southeast 20 km/h by late day.
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High: 23°C, Humidex: 26
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UV Index: 4 (moderate)
Tonight:
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Partly cloudy with a 60% chance of showers and risk of a thunderstorm.
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Winds southeast 20 km/h, gusting to 40 km/h.
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Low: 16°C
Saturday, October 4
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Mainly cloudy with 60% chance of showers early, 30% chance late in the afternoon.
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Risk of a thunderstorm, especially with early day instability.
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Winds becoming southwest 30 km/h, gusting to 50 km/h by late morning.
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High: 26°C, Humidex: 31
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UV Index: 4 (moderate)
Saturday Night:
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Cloudy, with a 40% chance of showers.
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Low: 17°C
Sunday, October 5
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Cloudy with a 40% chance of showers during the day.
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Windy, with strong southwesterly gusts continuing.
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High: 24°C
Sunday Night:
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Cloudy, with a 60% chance of showers.
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Winds continue to be strong and gusty.
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Low: +5°C — much cooler air arrives behind the front.
Monday, October 6
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Cloudy with a 40% chance of showers.
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High: 12°C — more seasonable.
Monday Night:
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Remaining cloudy.
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Low: +3°C
Weather Highlights & Advisory Notes
✅ Warmest Day: Saturday, with a humidex near 31°C
⚠️ Thunderstorm Risk: Late Friday and again Saturday AM
🌬️ Winds: Gusts up to 50 km/h Saturday and Sunday — use caution on open roads, lakes
🌡️ Temperature Swing: From 26°C Saturday to 12°C Monday — over a 14°C drop
🧥 Fall Jackets: Will return Monday after the summer-like weekend
Aviation & Outdoor Activity Outlook
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Friday: VFR conditions, but showers and fog patches may briefly reduce visibility late tonight.
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Saturday: Windy and unsettled, especially early; convective turbulence possible.
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Sunday: Strong southwest winds and showers — turbulence and low-level wind shear possible.
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Monday: Cloudy with better stability, but cooler with potential light scattered rain.
Weather Trivia
Did you know?
Dryden’s average high for early October is just 13°C. This weekend’s forecast high of 26°C with a humidex of 31°C is more than double the seasonal normal — a rare “false summer” powered by warm southerly winds ahead of a major cold front. These setups often bring gusty winds, localized thunderstorms, and dramatic temperature swings — exactly what’s unfolding this weekend.
META Description:
Dryden and Vermilion Bay weather for October 3–6, 2025: Unseasonably warm with humidex near 31°C Saturday, followed by showers, strong winds, and a 14°C temperature drop by Monday. Full outlook and advisory notes included.
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Enjoy the warm weekend while it lasts — and be prepared for a much cooler, wetter Monday. Stay weather-aware with the NetNewsLedger Weather Desk.






