Storm risk this morning, summer-like warmth Saturday, then a blustery cool-down Sunday into Monday

Kenora – Weather – A light rain shower and a cool northwest breeze greet Kenora early today, but the pattern stays unsettled and unseasonably warm into Saturday before a windy, showery change sweeps in Sunday.

Gardeners: note Environment Canada’s seasonal shift—frost will no longer be mentioned in regular forecasts; keep an eye on actual overnight temperatures for tender plants.

Today’s Weather Overview

Current Conditions (5:00 AM CDT – Kenora Airport)

• Temp: 14.2°C (feels mild, humidex building later)

• Sky: Light rainshower; mainly cloudy overall

• Wind: NW 12 km/h, backing to SE 20 km/h late this morning

• Pressure: 102.0 kPa, rising

• Humidity: 79% (Dew point 10.6°C)

• Visibility: 32 km

Today: A mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers and risk of a thunderstorm this morning. Turning warmer this afternoon. High 23°C (Humidex 26). UV 4 (moderate).

Tonight: Partly cloudy, 60% chance of showers and risk of a thunderstorm. Fog patches developing overnight. Wind south 30 km/h gusting 50 this evening. Low 16°C.

Weekend & Monday Outlook

Saturday (Oct 4)

• AM: Fog patches dissipate; sun–cloud mix returns.

• Day: 60% chance of showers with risk of a thunderstorm. Wind becoming SW 20 km/h in the morning.

• High 26°C, Humidex 31 (sticky for October). UV 4.

• Night: Showers. Low 14°C.

Sunday (Oct 5)

• Day: Showers, windy. High 22°C. Gusty southerlies shifting behind a front—expect choppy lake conditions and reduced visibility in heavier showers.

• Night: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers, windy. Low +5°C. Marked cool-down.

Monday (Oct 6)

• Day: Mix of sun & cloud, 40% chance of showers. High 12°C.

• Night: Cloudy periods, 40% chance of showers. Low +4°C.

Wardrobe & Activity Planner

• Today: Light rain jacket/umbrella for morning showers or a rumble of thunder; layers for a warm afternoon.

• Saturday: Summer-weight clothing (humidex ~31) but keep a packable shell for passing showers; boaters watch for gusts and thunderstorm outflows.

• Sunday: Windproof layer and waterproof footwear—blustery with on/off showers.

• Monday: Back to true fall attire—sweater, jacket, and closed-toe shoes.

Aviation & Boating Heads‑Up

• This morning: Brief MVFR/IFR in showers or isolated thunderstorms; improving between cells.

• Tonight–Saturday: LLWS/gusts possible as southerlies increase (30G50 km/h). Embedded convection may produce rapid ceiling/vis changes.

• Sunday: Windy with showers, turbulence likely in the low levels and near the lake; plan alternates.

• Monday: Mostly VFR, but scattered showers could bring localized MVFR.

Weather Trivia

October heat spikes like Saturday’s are often tied to a strong southerly fetch ahead of an autumn cold front. When humid air pools over warm lake waters, thunderstorm “pop-ups” can still occur—even this late in the season—before the front flips winds and knocks temps back to seasonal.