Conservatives Holding in Polls Over Liberals

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Parliament of Canada

Parliament of CanadaTHUNDER BAY – POLITICS – The political polls appear stable, however Nik Nanos says, “Although the Liberals still outscore the Conservatives on the weekly Nanos Party Power Index, for the past two weeks, the Conservatives have been at or near an 84 week high on the index”.

The latest tracking has the Liberals with 56 out of a possible 100 points, followed by the Conservatives at 54 points, the NDP at 49 points, the Greens at 32 points and the BQ at 27 points (QC only).

The Nanos Party Power Index methodology is comprised of a basket of political goods that includes ballot preferences, accessible voters, preferred PM views and evaluations of the leaders. It is modelled similar to a standard confidence index. It is a random telephone survey conducted with live agents, reaching out to Canadians through a land- and cell-line dual frame sample.

Nanos says, “Harper has a marginal advantage over Trudeau on the preferred Prime Minister front. Thirty-four per cent of Canadians preferred Harper as PM, followed by 30 per cent who preferred Trudeau, 16 per cent who preferred Mulcair, four per cent who preferred May and 14 per cent who were unsure”.

Asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would consider or not consider voting for each of the federal parties, 51 per cent of Canadians would consider voting Liberal while 43 per cent would consider voting Conservative, 42 per cent would consider voting NDP and 23 per cent would consider voting for the Greens.