Over half of Canadians expect federal Conservatives will lose next election – Forum Research


Parliament HillTHUNDER BAY – Forum Research reports, “In a measure of perception rather than voting intention, more than one half of Canadians expect the current government to be defeated in the next election (53%), while one third expect it to be re-elected (34%). While this is very similar to levels of Conservative support, it should be noted that just 8-in-10 Conservative voters expect their party to be re-elected (79%), while one tenth do not expect this to happen (11%).

In an exact reversal of opinion, 8-in-10 NDP supporters do not think the government will be re-elected (79%), and one tenth think it will be (11%).

Albertans were more likely to expect the government to be re-elected than residents of other provinces (54%; compared to 41% Manitoba / Saskatchewan, 39% Ontario, 28% British Columbia, 24% Atlantic, 22% Quebec).

In a sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among Canadians 18 years of age and older, close to 4-in-10 would vote for the NDP if an election were held today (37%), a clear lead over the second place Conservatives, who are favoured by 3-in-10 (30%).

Fewer than one quarter of Canadians would vote Liberal (22%), while about one twentieth would support either the Bloc Quebecois (6%) or the Green Party (5%).

The Conservatives had the highest support among older Canadians (26% <34, 24% 35 to 44, 32% 45 to 54, 29% 55 to 64, and 35% 65+),and Albertans (60%; compared to 34% Ontario, 33% Manitoba / Saskatchewan, 30% British Columbia, 28% Atlantic, 15% Quebec). Half of those with household incomes less than $20K (48%) preferred the NDP.

Previous articleOver 300 Human Rights complaints filed by Aboriginal people and First Nations Organizations
Next articleDiane Petryna of Take A Hike honoured with induction into Canadian Retail Hall of Fame
NetNewsledger.com or NNL offers news, information, opinions and positive ideas for Thunder Bay, Ontario, Northwestern Ontario and the world. NNL covers a large region of Ontario, but are also widely read around the country and the world. To reach us by email: newsroom@netnewsledger.com Reach the Newsroom: (807) 355-1862